First Preferences for Bucks Grammars on CAF

[MrsGrylls]

Thanks for posting this Sally-Anne. Can anyone tell me what that might mean for AGS being +76?

[Guest55]

Thanks for posting this Sally-Anne. Can anyone tell me what that might mean for AGS being +76?

That's just the change from 2015.

The number you need to note is 240 so 54 boys [240-186] won't get their first choice of GS.

[kittymum]

Potentially more if some who put other schools as their 1st choice don't get that but come higher up the admissions criteria for AGS eg a catchment child who put AGS 2nd choice but didn't get their first choice would get AGS place before an ooc who put it 1st choice iyswim

[Guest55]

That's true - places are allocated on distance - but there's bound to be people who put AGS first who won't get it.

[MrsGrylls]

Thanks both - makes sense. I realised as soon as I posted that without knowing the origins of the 240 applicants, it's pretty hard to draw any conclusions!

[HJJ]

I do indeed - the comparison of 2015 with 2016 is as follows:

Code: Select all

     	PAN	2016     PAN	2015	Chg
AGS	  186	 240	  180	164	+76
AHS	  180	 190	  180	174	+16
BHS	  150	 188	  150	168	+20
BGS	  150	 107	  150	126	-19
CGS	  180	 181	  180	170	+11
DCGS    180	 209	  180	236	-27
DCHS    150	 170	  180	205	-35
JHG	  150	 138	  150	117	+21
RGS	  192	 224	  192	167	+57
RLS	  174	 199	  174	247	-48
SHF	  150	 130	  150	147	-17
SWB	  120	 188	  120	115	+73
WHS	  192	 189	  192	170	+19
TOT	2,154  2,353	2,178	2,206	+147

Please can the above be interpreted? What does PAN mean?

[Sally-Anne]

PAN = Planned Admission Number

The figures are an indication of whether the school is likely to be more or less in demand this year than last year, and therefore whether the Allocation Distance might increase or decrease.

So, taking the example of AHS (Aylesbury High School), there are 16 more first preferences this year. Last year the school offered places up to 15.881 miles away. That distance is therefore likely to reduce a little this year.

It's not an exact science by any means, but it gives an early indication of the likelihood of getting a place at any given school.

[Footiemum]

Sally-Anne, sorry if this should be obvious, but how do we know at this stage what children put down as their first choice?

Also, when you gave SWB as an example (saying it will likely be a similar distance to 2014, ie out of area by 4 miles) - am I right in thinking that that was before they changed the distance measurement and was as crow flies (so in new calculation would be 6 rather than 4 miles as by road)?

Thank you.

[Guest55]

The preference data comes from the LA - they input choices into the computer.

Distance is the primary factor and you are allocated the highest preference school that can offer a place ie not necessarily your first choice as you might be too far away.

Straight line distance was used in 2014 I think - it's all guess work as we don't know where people live.

[Sally-Anne]

Straight-line distance was used from 2013 for all schools except Becky High. (They caught up with the rest in 2014.)