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What are my chances?

Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2008 2:36 pm
by redapple
Hi eveyone

Thanks for the preference numbers January 2008 it makes interesting reading. I am OCC and put John hampden as 1st choice we passed the exam now what are my chances.
Many thanks
Redapple

Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2008 4:51 pm
by Dad40
Allocation profiles for JHG in 2005 and 2007 suggest places were awarded to applicants up to a distance of about 10 miles. In 2006, it was unlimited distance.

So how far away are you?

What are my chances?

Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2008 4:55 pm
by redapple
Hi dad 40
I am 7 miles away.

Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2008 5:04 pm
by Sally-Anne
Hi redapple

There are quite a few factors at work here, as you will realise.

The allocation profiles for the last 2 years were:

2007 - out area boys up to 10.905 miles

2006 - all offered

There are 80 first preferences for JHG this year (as you have seen), and the figure last year was 79. The only schools in your neck of the woods that won't be able to take all their first preferences are DCGS (16) and Beccy High ( 8 ), and some of those may have put JHG as 2nd preference. Then there will be some successful Appeals ... but even adding those up it is still a long way off the Admission number of 150.

In 2007 there were 17 places given to Out-of-County children.

So, distance is going to matter most. How far from the school/out of catchment are you?

Sally-Anne

What are my chances?

Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2008 5:07 pm
by redapple
Hi Sally
Thanks for that . I am 7 miles away in Maidenhead

Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2008 5:25 pm
by Sally-Anne
Hi redapple

No promises, but as the numbers all round the County are pretty stable at present, you should be OK. I think in the end the only spoiler could be if there are too many OoC children who live nearer to the school.

(Sorry about the random smiley in the last message - it happens when you type 8 + bracket, thus: 8) Very annoying!)

Sally-Anne

Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2008 5:28 pm
by Dad40
And there's me thinking that the 8) referred to some apparently strange people who put Beccy High as first choice and John Hampden as second choice. :wink:

What are my chances?

Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2008 5:36 pm
by redapple
Thanks for all you replies. I live in hope.

Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2008 6:26 pm
by Guest55
Is 7 miles the distance by road? Try google map from your postcode to that of the school - also it matters whether you are in or out of catchment.

Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2008 7:07 pm
by Sally-Anne
Hi redapple

You should also check the distance using this site as it is the closest to the one that Bucks CC actually use (called the Integrated Transport Network) - in fact I believe that the measurements are usually identical, because the ITN is the software that runs the Transport Direct site:

http://www.transportdirect.info/TransportDirect/en/

Edit: Oh for flip's sake! I'm having one of those days!! Why is that link not showing up?? Anyway, just Google Transport Direct while I rush off to remonstrate with a programmer! :lol:

Another edit: Remonstrated, problem solved. Thank you programmer!

Sally-Anne