Playing devil's advocate for CCHS

[Araucana girl]

Okay this is driving me mad and I will stop analysing soon but this is my take on it:
Looking at the 2012 intake and bearing in mind that the ooc were increasing close to 50%:


Year 7 accepted:
Total 120
Out of Catchment 42.50% = 51
In catchment 57.50% =69



Applicants:

Total 100% = 803
Out of catchment 56.30% = 452
In catchment 42.70% = 351



Last place I can fathom that was offered was 161 of those that put it on the CAF


Therefore:

Number that rejected offers or not in 1st place (non priority and priority) were:

161-120 = 41

Number of ooc children included in 120 accepted were : 51 from above

This will reduce the list when the ic rankings are first worked out by 51

Therefore of the applicants that actually put CCHS on the CAF: 92 would have been removed
before the IC list was worked out.


Being conservative:

Lets assume of top 120 that 30% are ooc = 36
Assume that in line with 2012, 41 reject or put 2nd = 41
Assuming that 20 don't even put on the CAF = 20
Total adjustment = 97

Cut off can be estimated at 97 +96 for IC girls 193

Therefore I am estimating if Aang's calculation of the standard deviations etc put you at around 193 and below you are safe if in catchment.

Any thoughts anyone?

[Blitz]

The equality report was written in Feb 2012, so the y7 figure is for the 2011 intake not 2012.

The kegs equality report,that I can not assess any longer, showed by 2011 over 60% of students were oc. This is what led the catchment changes.

I think you are right, the cut off will probably be around 109 and place 193.

... You need to stop fretting now!

[Araucana girl]

Yes mum

Thank you. Roll on March

[mikedellfarm]

Worryguts.

[talea51]

Araucana girl, submit your application for CCHS and then take a deep breath!

Enjoy your half term and forget aaaallll about the 11+ plus torture that we have just endured!

If there was a thumbs up emoticon, I'd have put it here!

[sharob]

Well done Araucana girl - it sounds as though your figures, given any unpredictable anomaly may be spot on....so yes...press submit and enjoy the calm before March....places/uniforms/travel etc.....

Remember....These are the good old days

Wishing you and your dd every success...

[RDR]

As I said earlier -- hope up to 200 at least