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PostPosted: Thu Oct 24, 2013 4:09 pm 
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Joined: Wed Aug 15, 2012 4:48 pm
Posts: 492
Okay this is driving me mad and I will stop analysing soon but this is my take on it:
Looking at the 2012 intake and bearing in mind that the ooc were increasing close to 50%:


Year 7 accepted:
Total 120
Out of Catchment 42.50% = 51
In catchment 57.50% =69



Applicants:

Total 100% = 803
Out of catchment 56.30% = 452
In catchment 42.70% = 351



Last place I can fathom that was offered was 161 of those that put it on the CAF


Therefore:

Number that rejected offers or not in 1st place (non priority and priority) were:

161-120 = 41

Number of ooc children included in 120 accepted were : 51 from above

This will reduce the list when the ic rankings are first worked out by 51

Therefore of the applicants that actually put CCHS on the CAF: 92 would have been removed
before the IC list was worked out.


Being conservative:

Lets assume of top 120 that 30% are ooc = 36
Assume that in line with 2012, 41 reject or put 2nd = 41
Assuming that 20 don't even put on the CAF = 20
Total adjustment = 97

Cut off can be estimated at 97 +96 for IC girls 193

Therefore I am estimating if Aang's calculation of the standard deviations etc put you at around 193 and below you are safe if in catchment.

Any thoughts anyone?

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"Logic will get you from A to B. Imagination will take you everywhere."

Albert Einstein


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PostPosted: Thu Oct 24, 2013 4:45 pm 
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Joined: Wed Aug 25, 2010 2:58 pm
Posts: 496
The equality report was written in Feb 2012, so the y7 figure is for the 2011 intake not 2012.

The kegs equality report,that I can not assess any longer, showed by 2011 over 60% of students were oc. This is what led the catchment changes.

I think you are right, the cut off will probably be around 109 and place 193.

... You need to stop fretting now!


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PostPosted: Thu Oct 24, 2013 6:32 pm 
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Joined: Wed Aug 15, 2012 4:48 pm
Posts: 492
Yes mum :D :D :D

Thank you. Roll on March :D

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"Logic will get you from A to B. Imagination will take you everywhere."

Albert Einstein


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PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 8:37 am 
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Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2012 8:26 am
Posts: 269
Worryguts.


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PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 9:00 am 
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Joined: Sun Feb 06, 2011 4:10 pm
Posts: 522
Araucana girl, submit your application for CCHS and then take a deep breath! :D :D

Enjoy your half term and forget aaaallll about the 11+ plus torture that we have just endured!

If there was a thumbs up emoticon, I'd have put it here! :D


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PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 10:52 am 
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Joined: Mon Aug 12, 2013 12:22 pm
Posts: 32
Well done Araucana girl - it sounds as though your figures, given any unpredictable anomaly may be spot on....so yes...press submit and enjoy the calm before March....places/uniforms/travel etc.....

Remember....These are the good old days ;)

Wishing you and your dd every success...

:D


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PostPosted: Sat Oct 26, 2013 10:53 pm 
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Joined: Sun Apr 25, 2010 9:51 pm
Posts: 35
As I said earlier -- hope up to 200 at least


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