DS2 wants Tommy's so I am hoping for a Pates mark of 225 or above, preferably in the 230's, that way we can relax between now and March. Lower puts us into what we call the twilight zone so DS2 could still get a place but there is a stronger element of uncertainty
Tommy's, if they use the same system as last year, will just tell you wether they are eligible to be considered for a place.
If your child gets into the Pates top 120 you will definately get a place there. Up to 160 then it is more of a lottery. Last year they offered places into the 150's but this year, well into credit crunch, may be different. What it will mean though is that you will definately get a place at Tommy's.
As a system it sucks and is very unfair on the children as well as the poor parents. Part of the reason I prepped my DS2 so highly was to try and avoid being in the twilight zone. Of course that in itself raises the bench mark for other children.
Anyway on Saturday the number of posters will probably go up as people try and make sense of their scores. I was in that boat last year it was only thanks to Milla I realised how well DS1 had done and that he would probably get his place at Tommy's which he did.