Thanks Ladymuck and Catseye .
Hi mjuly , I am asking about grammar schools in Sutton and Whitgift School . The question is not about how good the chances are but which exam paper will be more difficult ?
I don't think worrying about which paper will be more difficult as ultimately it is is where the pass line is drawn that matters. Think about it we could give a kS1 paper to 11 year olds and many would get 100% and lots would 99%, cutoff would probably be 100% and lots of people on 99% would be unhappy as the paper was "easy"
Or we could give the 11 year olds an A level standard paper. Maybe some would do well and get 10% and be offered places. Again people may be unhappy as the paper was too "hard" but still some would do well enough.
The answer is that in any paper there are still some who do better than others and get above the line.