Hi Nibbee (and Etienne
Despite my ageing eyesight
I have added up the figures - I do hope they are correct!
1:1 23 ranked, 100% passed
1:3 1 ranked, 100% passed
2:1 14 ranked, 60% (8 pupils) passed
3:1 10 ranked, 20% (2 pupils) passed
2 children above your child did not pass, and 7 below did. (And I would like to bet that the child who passed with 131 on a 3:1 ranking was a girl!
The Head's OoS is really very good. To rank the top 24 accurately as passes is no mean feat, and very many of them achieved the 131 - 141 that would be expected for a 1:1 ranking. I feel (although Etienne may disagree with me
) that this is a an exceptionally good OoS for that reason.
I think that it is very important indeed to emphasise how many children above your child passed. No. 29 on the OoS would be poor evidence in many appeal cases - top 20 is usually preferable - but it is not in this case, as the Head was so accurate.
The fact that among the 2:1s the Head also achieved 60% accuracy is also good, and - as you say - several children below your child passed.
The panel will see the Head's summary and perhaps think "ranked 29, not great" and you need to draw their attention to the accuracy of the OoS above your child's ranking.
On 120 you do not have a tremendous amount to prove, and this OoS will help you.
Just keep pulling together the academic evidence!