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PostPosted: Sun Feb 24, 2013 10:34 pm 
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Anyone prepared,even at this late stage,to have a feel what the above qualifying score may be?


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PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 7:14 am 
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Nervous Dad wrote:
Anyone prepared,even at this late stage,to have a feel what the above qualifying score may be?


We could run a sweepstake on this ;o)

The average over the last 4 years comes in at 329.5 so with the additional places up for grabs I'll go for 328 as the AQS.

Hope your dd gets in.


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PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 8:07 am 
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Thanks for your reply.

Following previous posts on this forum I would have thought that the AQS would have been somewhat less this year with the additional places up for grabs.I even saw someone suggest about 317.

I hope it is about 323!!


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PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 9:22 am 
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I think it will be around 325, I would think there is some hope for anyone over 318 or so in the southern area to potentially get a waiting list place.


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PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 9:27 am 
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Location: Warwickshire
This year there are 112 places for SGS, last year there were only 75. So the qualifying score will inevitably drop as a result of that.

Also the number sitting the test this year fell (1817, compared to 1930 in 2011), and although this may be largely due to the Birmingham tests not being later than the Warwickshire one this year, so no "free mock" entrants, this was apparently a low birth rate year, so they may be some some genuine drop in applicant numbers. That too would cause a drop in the required score.

Nervous Dad - 323 ought to be comfortably inside the AQS for Stratford Girls this year.

Last year's 1st preference figures for South Warwickshire girls only: were AGS=155, SGS=245

If a score of 323 gives a rank of 156 out of 502 for South Warwickshire girls this year - we'd actually expect 38.75% of those ranked above that to have Alcester as a first preference (assuming that the same pattern of preferences continues). So 60 of those 156 would probably have chosen AGS over SGS. Meaning your dd's effective rank is around 96 for SGS alone. With 112 places up for grabs you should be ok.


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PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 11:56 am 
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Thanks,Okanagan

I really hope 323 is OK for SGS this year.

4 more days to go!!


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PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 1:10 pm 
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How good is Okanagan, honestly!!!! :D :D
What would we do without you??!!!!

AR


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PostPosted: Tue Feb 26, 2013 9:44 pm 
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£10 on 315 for me! :roll:


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PostPosted: Wed Feb 27, 2013 1:06 pm 
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Okanagan wrote:
If a score of 323 gives a rank of 156 out of 502 for South Warwickshire girls this year - we'd actually expect 38.75% of those ranked above that to have Alcester as a first preference (assuming that the same pattern of preferences continues). So 60 of those 156 would probably have chosen AGS over SGS. Meaning your dd's effective rank is around 96 for SGS alone. With 112 places up for grabs you should be ok.


Though not all of those 60 girls will not get a place at AGS because of the boy girl imbalance....


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PostPosted: Wed Feb 27, 2013 1:12 pm 
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Location: Warwickshire
Yes - as it looks like the Alcester qualifying score will be higher then Stratford this year a few of those will probably revert to SGS as a 2nd choice. Probably not 16 of them though as the difference isn't likely to be more than 5 or 6 points.


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