Our dd got 327, we are very proud of him. We are out of catchment, and at 1st thought this should just about secure him a place at either Southend or Westcliff, but now realising how much the catchment has changed we are feeling very unsure. Of course we will have both schools as 1st and 2nd choice, but feel sick at the outcome. I believe all the 115 positions this year for both schools will be filled by kids with over 303 in the larger area, and that leaves a much smaller chance for us out of area. We are def making appointment to find out more. Feel very sick about the situation.
Hopefully at this presentation they will give us information about where their students have come from in the past so we get a better idea of the impact of catchment changes. If they don't do this, I'm not sure what the sessions are for.
As well as previously out of catchment people now counting as in catchment, there is the uncertain effect of the Chelmsford catchment. In theory there should be less overflow from Chelmsford to Southend, although the in catchment Chelmsford scores still seem to be quite high so maybe it won't make much difference (and I guess it depends on what proportion of Chelmsford students previously were anyways in the Chelmsford catchment).
The Chelmsford catchment introduction will certainly redirect some of the flow from London into Westcliff as well as Colchester (maybe not Southend). How much it does this I guess depends again on the composition of Chelmsford students in previous years – just how many Londoners were going into that school.