Passing and failing a driving test are not equally likely - I think it varies from test centre to test centre and a driver could be appalling.
Theoretical probability only applies where 'skill' is not part of the picture - spinning a coin, throwing a die, etc.
Playing football depends on the teams playing - the weather depends on the time of year and the country.
Thanks everyone and guest55, thanks so much for that. It has all clicked and I get it now! Kind of thinking out of the box and taking many outside influences into account ( like for eg the weatherman mayhave got it wrong or like you say he may a rubbish driver etc etc )
Yes the answer is indeed D! If I get stuck again can I come back
You are all masters of maths