Hi Caela and welcome,
I am sorry that I do not have any figures for appeals for this school. They don't seem to publish anything and this being Lincolnshire
nobody formally collects data from the own-admission authority schools. I don't know either what the cut-off score for out of area places was over the last few years. They are often oversubscribed. The encouraging news comes from looking at the numbers on roll. With a PAN of 84 there are no year groups with fewer than 86 pupils and current Y11 has 92 (October 2011 figures). That means that some people must be successful at appeal.
If the school has more applicants than places and the cut-off score this year is higher than 227 for the out of area children then you will have to appeal. Anybody who did not pass and wanted to appeal would be doing so at the same time. The difference is that for the time between March allocations until the appeals are heard you would be on a waiting list so that if there was movement (e.g. someone turned down their allocated place because a place became available at another school they had placed higher on their application list) you could still be allocated a place whereas a child who had not passed could not.
It is a far easier hurdle to overcome to appeal for a school place with a pass (an oversubscription appeal) than when you are appealing non-qualification and oversubscription at the same time, though of course success rates vary tremendously between schools. The school is right that this is where having a sibling in the school would be an issue you could raise and which the Independent Appeal Panel could consider. The school's admission policy does not give any priority to siblings. Herr it is in case you have missed it:Preference will be given to:
1. Pupils who have reached the required score and who are in public care.
2. Pupils living within the traditional catchment area who have reached the required score. A map of the catchment area is available from the school office.
3. Pupils (from the following feeder primary schools: Alford, Huttoft, Mablethorpe, Sutton-on-Sea, Theddlethorpe, Willoughby and Withern) who reach the required score, 220 or over in the two tests, and for whom Queen Elizabeth's Grammar, Alford, is one preferred by the parents.
4. Pupils not in the traditional catchment area who reach the required score.
In the case of oversubscription from pupils, who have reached the required score, pupils will be ranked according to their 11+ test scores. In the event of a number of pupils having exactly the same 11+ score then the governors will apply a tie-breaker based on the straight line distance (measured electronically by the local authority between the post office address point of the home and the post office address point of the academy), with the child living closest to the academy being given the place.
Good luck for March.