DD2 scored 120 and 118 respectively this year.
Two very respectable scores!
The 3 relates to a lack of maturity. DD has a late August birthday and arrived very prematurely - over 9 weeks early. I have always felt DD has been in the wrong year! I appreciate scores will have been adjusted for age.
I think this should be an important part of your case.
However her Y5 report indicates she has matured! Her SATS at the end of Year 5 were
Reading Age 11.1
The HT has predicted all 5s and commented that DD is now a secure 4 in Maths having moved two thirds of a level in a term.
Good! Important to emphasise the last point ("...DD is now a secure 4 in Maths, having moved two thirds of a level in a term, and is now on target for level 5.
DD's NFER verbal reasoning has been consistent at 123 for the last 2 years, so top 10%.
Borderline, but just about acceptable, I would have thought.
I had DD assessed by an EP earlier this year and DD achieved the following results
VCI 119 90th percentile so again top 10%
PRI 108 70th percentile
WMI 91 27th percentile
PSI 131 98th percentile
FSIQ 117 87th percentile
Additionally DD in the WIAT subtests scored
word reading 98 45th percentile
reading comprehension 126 96th percentile
pseudoword decoding 101 53rd percentile
numerical operations 102 55th percentile
spelling 100 50th percentile
written expression 135 99th percentile
indicating DD has significant strengths in reading comprehension and written expression. The EP commented that DD has a mild specific learning difficulty which slightly depressed word reading and spelling and could cause DD to lose marks on the 11+ and fall just short of the pass mark- that came true!
I have mixed views about this. The panel may well focus on the VCI and FSIQ, which are just a bit on the low side, relatively speaking, and won't help your case. Perceptual reasoning is not so high one could argue that her strengths lie elsewhere than in VR. On the other hand, the bit about 'mild specific learning difficulty' is helpful.
There's no easy answer. I can only tell you what you could do in this situation, but it has to be a decision for you. I wouldn't submit the EP report. Exceptionally, I would say at the hearing that I had had one done a year ago, but hadn't submitted it as evidence because it identified only a mild SLD, and this wouldn't be enough to count as a disability or to suggest that extra time should have been requested. If asked about scores, you could say, quite correctly, that verbal comprehension was around the 90th percentile.
HT has also mentioned that DD has become more mature and confident in ability since family situation has stabilised.
That's very helpful. I would make 'maturity' your main argument.
You've a number of extenuating circumstances, but I feel it's important not to overplay them, or there's a risk they will start to sound like 'excuses'. By all means include a note from the GP and the head's statement about the familiarity sessions, but don't refer to them as part of your case. Wait for the panel to ask you questions if they wish. Your main argument should be 'maturity' (and a brief mention of a SLD).
Good luck! I would say you have at least a 50/50 chance.