Hi all. I think at this stage its very hard to say categorically whether any child will get in or not - there is no concept of pass or fail. As Newstead is based on a rank order of scores with no catchment area (other than the 9 mile radius) there are alot of variables at this stage. For example: the demographic will vary each year, as will the test itself and in particular the number of forms submitted with Newstead as No.1 in the list. If some of the kids scoring well in Newstead put Townley, Chis + Sid, TOGS, and also private schools, then others will get in during final clearing (as our eldest daughter successfully experienced last year!).
For example you might find that the raw ranked order of 160 kids might have a score of 225 and above (a guess !!), but the school will have factored that based on experience, some of those will pick other schools in the final decision and turn Newstead down. Bearing in mind they've done 2 years with the additional form class (160 intake in total vs 130 or so 2 years ago), then the 218-220 guideline should give a good indicator but not a guarantee of success or otherwise. From a personal opinion (for what its worth !), i'd think if you in or around or just below that, its worth a punt if you like the school. Equally if you're a good few marks above the indicated cut off, I'd think you've got a good chance. But at the end of the day, you'll only know when final decisions come out. Good luck all